Humidity-Swing Polymers Could Make DAC Radically Cheaper

Humidity-Swing Polymers Could Make DAC Radically Cheaper

Here’s the problem with most direct air capture: you spend enormous amounts of energy releasing the CO₂ you just captured. Heat the sorbent to 900°C (solid sorbents) or boil a solvent (liquid systems) — either way, the energy cost dominates the economics. That’s why DAC still costs $400–$1,000 per tonne. But what if you could release captured CO₂ by just… making the air humid? Researchers at Arizona State University, led by doctoral researcher Gayathri Yogaganeshan, have published new work explaining exactly why certain commercial polymers can capture CO₂ from dry air and release it when exposed to moisture. No heat. No pressure. Just wet/dry cycling. And for the first time, they’ve mapped the structural differences that make some materials dramatically better at it than others. ...

March 24, 2026 · 2 min · CaptainDrawdown
Microsoft's CDR Bet: The Vaulted Deep Deal Could Be Worth ~$1B

Microsoft's CDR Bet: The Vaulted Deep Deal Could Be Worth ~$1B

Microsoft just signed what might be the largest carbon removal contract in history — and nobody in Washington had anything to do with it. E&E News reports that Microsoft has agreed to store 4.9 million tonnes of CO₂ with Vaulted Deep, a Houston-based startup that uses geological storage. Neither party confirms the price, but industry experts estimate the deal could be worth approximately $1 billion. Vaulted Deep CEO Julia Reichelstein called the deal’s impact “Revolutionary.” ...

March 24, 2026 · 2 min · CaptainDrawdown
South Holland Builds a Regional CDR Hub With SeaO2, Skytree, and TNO

South Holland Builds a Regional CDR Hub With SeaO2, Skytree, and TNO

While the US spent 2025 freezing $3.5 billion in DAC hub funding, the Netherlands quietly started building the kind of CDR infrastructure that actually scales. Platform Zero just organized a CDR strategy session in South Holland with an attendance list that tells you everything about how Europe does industrial policy differently. At the table: Skytree (DAC), SeaO2 (ocean alkalinity enhancement), TNO (the Netherlands’ heavyweight national research organization), Provincie Zuid-Holland, Gemeente Rotterdam, the Port of Rotterdam, InnovationQuarter, the Netherlands Enterprise Agency, Paebbl, Carbyon, everox, Zero Emission Fuels, EBN B.V., and Division Q. ...

March 24, 2026 · 2 min · CaptainDrawdown
This California Brewery Is Carbonating Beer With Air-Captured CO₂

This California Brewery Is Carbonating Beer With Air-Captured CO₂

The CO₂ in your beer probably came from an ammonia plant. Or an ethanol refinery. Or — if you’re drinking Almanac Beer Company’s new “Flow – Clean Air Edition” — straight from the sky above a parking lot in Alameda, California. Almanac just launched what appears to be the world’s first commercial beer carbonated entirely with CO₂ captured from ambient air via direct air capture. Their partner, Berkeley-based Aircapture, installed a modular DAC unit in the brewery’s parking lot — it looks like an oversized HVAC unit with a chimney — that pulls CO₂ from the air and liquefies it to beverage-grade purity (99.999%). The beer is already available at 800+ retailers across California, including Safeway, Whole Foods, Total Wine, and BevMo. ...

March 24, 2026 · 2 min · CaptainDrawdown
I Counted Every CDR Researcher on Earth. Here's What I Found.

I Counted Every CDR Researcher on Earth. Here's What I Found.

📊 v2 Update (March 23, 2026) This census now uses LLM classification (Gemini Flash) instead of keyword-based search. Every paper was re-classified by title + abstract across our 7 CDR pathways. Starting from 37,133 candidate papers, we filtered 12,384 as NOT_CDR, leaving 24,749 high-confidence CDR papers. Researcher count updated to 122,674. Pathway assignments recalculated. Full methodology below. This is more rigorous but catches different papers — earlier keyword searches found 21,804. ...

March 23, 2026 · 5 min · CaptainDrawdown
The CDR Brain Map — Where the Researchers Are (and Aren't)

The CDR Brain Map — Where the Researchers Are (and Aren't)

📊 v2 Update — LLM-Based Reclassification This post updates v1 with fresh census data (80,382 researchers, 24,749 papers). The methodology has shifted from keyword-based to LLM-based classification of research papers — meaning we’re now using AI to understand semantic context instead of just matching terms. This catches CDR research that traditional keyword methods miss. Country and institution assignments use ORCID self-reported affiliations where available, falling back to OpenAlex’s “last known institution” otherwise. Still not perfect, but significantly more accurate than before. Your corrections still make v3 better. Bluesky · X ...

March 23, 2026 · 4 min · CaptainDrawdown
The Top Minds in Every CDR Method — And Why I'm Showing You

The Top Minds in Every CDR Method — And Why I'm Showing You

⚠️ Updated for v2 (2026-03-23) This post now uses LLM classification (title + abstract) instead of keyword search. That’s a major upgrade — but it exposed a real problem with DAC data that I need to flag transparently. Rankings are based on number of CDR papers found in our classification. Institution and country data uses ORCID self-reported affiliations where available (66% coverage), with OpenAlex as fallback. ORCID links let you verify every name. If you see errors, tell me — I’ll fix them. Bluesky · X ...

March 23, 2026 · 7 min · CaptainDrawdown
The Dabbler Problem — Is CDR Research a Side Hustle?

The Dabbler Problem — Is CDR Research a Side Hustle?

Update: V2 Data (March 2026) We’ve reclassified 122,674 researchers using an LLM-based methodology instead of keyword-only matching. 42,292 researchers lost their CDR designation because their papers weren’t actually about CDR — they were tangentially related but didn’t cross the threshold. This leaves 80,382 researchers with a genuine CDR pathway. The dabbler percentage dropped from 69% to 52.8%, which at first looks like bad news. But the real story is subtler — and slightly more hopeful. Previous version: first shot · Feedback? ...

March 23, 2026 · 6 min · CaptainDrawdown
CDR Science as Early Signal — Is the Research Explosion Fast Enough?

CDR Science as Early Signal — Is the Research Explosion Fast Enough?

⚠️ v2 Update — Improved Methodology This analysis now uses LLM classification instead of keyword filtering, which reclassified ~2,945 papers and shifted author trajectories. The core finding holds: CDR science is growing, but the talent retention story remains fragile. Bluesky · X This is Part 5 of the CDR Researcher Census series — the synthesis. This entire census project started with a question: Is CDR science growing fast enough to deliver gigaton-scale removal by 2050? ...

March 23, 2026 · 7 min · CaptainDrawdown
Find Yourself in the CDR Census — 122,674 Researchers, Searchable

Find Yourself in the CDR Census — 122,674 Researchers, Searchable

If you’ve published anything related to carbon dioxide removal, you’re probably in here. The CDR Researcher Lookup lets you search 122,674 researchers by name. Each profile shows: Your CDR pathway — which removal method your work maps toCommitment level — dabbler, part-time, focused, or dedicatedTrajectory — is your CDR output growing, stable, or declining?Career stage — early career through eminent, based on h-index and career spanInstitution and country — verified via ORCID where availableYour CDR papers — the specific publications that put you in this datasetWhy This Exists#When Lück et al. (2025) mapped 53,000 CDR papers in Nature Communications, they answered “how much CDR research exists?” I wanted to answer the next question: who are the people doing it? ...

March 23, 2026 · 2 min · CaptainDrawdown